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Thursday, October 30, 2014

http://ivn.us/2014/10/28/fight-senate-will-win-control/?utm_source=house&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=newsletter-2014-10-28
The Fight for the Senate: Who Will Win Control
Good analysis. He thinks it's 50-50, that Roberts will lose Kansas, and it will come down to which party Orman caucuses with. (Everybody's been assuming D, but Orman won't say.)

Other sources have downgrade the chance of senate takeover to about 65%. NC may be in play now, we'd been assuming the D's would keep their small lead. The Supreme Court's role will be controversial if it becomes an R pickup.

meanwhile in the house:

Twenty-three incumbent Democrats are seen as in jeopardy compared to just four Republicans. A greater House Republican majority would mean Speaker John Boehner of Ohio would be able to weather more defections on legislation and still get bills passed.

meanwhile at the statehouse:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/govbeat/wp/2014/10/29/election-could-tip-historic-number-of-legislatures-into-republican-hands/

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