Thursday, June 30, 2016

Obama early political activism, homework strike.

Wednesday, June 29, 2016

FEC 3-3 split on Fox sponsorship of GOP debate.
update: or not.
Dan at electionlawblog writes "Update:  Commissioner Ellen Weintraub emailed the following: 'The story is inaccurate. As the record will show when the file goes public tomorrow, I did not vote to punish Fox News in any way. To the contrary, I voted to dismiss the complaint.'”

California marijuana legalization makes it on the ballot. I expect it will pass.

Monday, June 27, 2016

Sunday, June 26, 2016

A Modern-Day Poll Tax?

Posted on June 26, 2016 7:13 am by 

I got this posted over at the electionlawblog. I'd forgotten to post it here first.

Saturday, June 25, 2016

Texit next?

Brexit to be followed by Grexit. Departugal. Italeave. Fruckoff. Czechout. Oustria. Finish. Slovlong. Latervia. Byegium.. until EU reach the state of Germlonely.

thursday's supreme court decision could affect an appeal, maybe.
i mean monday's, tomorrow.

Friday, June 24, 2016

Former Governor of CT, John Rowland convicted of a second felony, this one for campaign finance disclosure, lack thereof. http://ij.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/united-states-v-rowland-15-985-cr-2016-06-17.pdf
I'm generally strongly critical of disclosure regimes - disclosure kills and chills - but here I think it's a reasonable conviction.

Thursday, June 23, 2016

Cameron resigns at prime minister. Pound at 1.37 in sharpest 1 day fall ever.

uk polls just closed, and it looks like "remain" is in the lead, but we'll know more tomorrow.
at 11:30 central, with at least 80% in, it's leave by a million votes. yup, brexit won, leave 52%.

I know very little about what this will actually mean for stuff like travel, trade, courts, another scottish independence vote, and so forth.


Tuesday, June 21, 2016


I listened to the 4th circuit arguments about n c voter ID and other anti-voter measures. Sounds promising, but who knows.

"A CNN/ORC poll released June 21 shows: Hillary Clinton 42%, Donald Trump 38%, Gary Johnson 9%, Jill Stein 7%, none 3%, other 1%, undecided 1%. See question P5a." - Ballot Access News.


Biometrics for voting in nigeria, finger-print scanners.


In Nebraska, the counties don't know if felons are allowed to vote.

update: this story was picked up by the electionlawblog.

I'm not sure what's going on with brexit, but I'm guessing this Emma Watson photo is related.
update: the election is thursday, uk time.

Sunday, June 19, 2016

Text of my HAVA complaint: Election fraud and accessibility grievance form.

At the May 2016 primary, I went to vote at the firehouse at N. Sherman and New York Streets.
I was denied the vote. After speaking to an election board staff person at the center at Sherman and Washington, I returned and had the election board attorney on the phone, but the official in charge refused to speak to her and ordered me to leave the building. This is online at http://www.youtube.com/user/arbivark. My right to vote, under the voter ID statute, and the Indiana and federal constitutions, was violated.

(notary information follows.)
This was mailed to the Indiana Election Division I think Friday 6/17/16.

Saturday, June 18, 2016

montana legislator gets large fine but not removed from office, for coordination with right to work committee.

Friday, June 17, 2016

Texas has spent $3.5 million on lawsuits defending it fraudulent voter ID program so far. That cost will go up if it goes to the Supreme Court again. I wonder if anyone is keeping a count nationally.

update: hasen had me scooped by an hour.

Wednesday, June 15, 2016


Today I learned, via this podcast, http://www.radiolab.org/story/the_political_thicket/,
that there was a Supreme Court Justice who went to UMKC, from which I have an LLM,
at the same time he was going to high school. 1920-1924, so I think that's before my grandfather started teaching there.
A farm kid, he put himself through law school by hunting and trapping. Worked in the mailroom at a law firm, graduated, and got a job there. Served 5 years on the Supreme Court before retiring due to a nervous breakdown over dealing with Justice Frankfurter in Baker v Carr, the case that pretty much created modern election law.

Monday, June 13, 2016


"delaware strong" voter guide case could get supreme court review

Friday, June 10, 2016

wil wheaton on hillary clinton, from archives

Thursday, June 09, 2016

"who is gary johnson?"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hdkznU2IvfU Samantha Bee interview.
At the end she asks what kind of people go to the Libertarian convention, he says "and some are just batshit crazy", cutting to pictures of two of my friends, Starchild and Willy Marshall, as well as Vermin Supreme, who I camped next to at a rainbow event last year.
I did not make the convention this year because work held a meeting in Nebraska they could have done with a phone call, which was annoying, but paid well,
Johnson seemed very strange. I don't know if it was just a bit for a comedy show, or if he's like that.

Wednesday, June 08, 2016

Primary turnout tells us little about the general election, but,

Hillary received 15,899,116 votes this year.
Bernie Sanders received 12,193,152 votes.
Trump has "over 13 million primary election votes."
So he's a smidge ahead of Bernie but trailing Clinton.

Sanders, losing in CA and NJ, won MT and ND, but narrowly lost SD, 49-51%. I'm leaving out, was it Arizona? assumed to go Clinton.
As a news junkie, it frustrates me that it it's taken me about 24 hours to find this out. I'm writing this wednesday evening. I like instant gratification. It took me over 30 minutes to get tech support on the line this morning when my internet went down. Once I finally got through to Tony he fixed it, upped my service, lowered my price,and pointed out the great weather we had today. But I had to wait so long to reach him. Later in the day in left the muffler shop instead of getting an estimate on my muffler, because I don't like to wait. I checked drudge, I checked Google news, i mean news.google, I even checked AP, but nobody had full results last night. I expect more. I'm not saying my desires are reasonable or rational, it's just what I want. Anyway, it's a Clinton v Trump v Johnson race now.
I assume Bernie will keep a poker face until the convention.
11 pm update: it was New Mexico. http://whatever.scalzi.com/2016/06/08/clinton-and-sanders-and-the-end-of-the-road/

Tuesday, June 07, 2016


Assuming the governor signs the bill as expected, Illinois becomes 5th state with automatic voter registration, joining California, Vermont, West Virginia and Oregon.

Final democratic primaries are today. It looks like Hilary takes California based on her lead in early voting by mail. Also expected to take New Jersey, could split the others or they might go Bernie,
but at the end of the day she'll have the nomination wrapped up.

Monday, June 06, 2016

Jurisdiction noted in 15-680, Bethune-Hill v. Va. Board of Elections. Issue is racial gerrymandering in state legislative elections. - See more at: http://live.scotusblog.com/Event/Live_blog_of_orders_and_opinions__June_6_2016#sthash.KV2pUR27.dpuf

It is "jurisdiction noted" because it went to a three-judge panel, which found racial gerrymandering; the three-judge panel decision can go directly to the Supreme Court in what is called a mandatory appeal. 


Decision below https://scholar.google.com/scholar_case?case=12720423399528970207&hl=en&as_sdt=6&as_vis=1&oi=scholarr

Friday, June 03, 2016


'Tramps Against Trump’ Will Trade You Nudes for Voting This Election.

Tramps against Trump is the American subsidiary of Sluts against Harper.
Question: Is nudes for votes legal, either federally or in CA? Discuss. Show your work.

snafu: nhttp://www.baltimoresun.com/news/maryland/howard/ellicott-city/ph-ho-cf-elections-strategy-rethinking-20160603-story.html
"This was a perceived election snafu. The website went down. All the results were in. It is what it is. The first time around, there will be some glitches."
The 28 million dollar "election system uses COBOL, a computer programming language designed in 1959 that stands for Common Business Oriented Language."


New lawsuit filed over long lines on election day


Arizona AG hires independent investigator to probe election problems

Trump rally menaced by protesters. I picked this photo because it's cute, but I'm not endorsing the violence that followed. 
Meanwhile, Amy Schumer, niece of NY Senator Shumer, supports the right to bare arms.

Tuesday, May 31, 2016

Today I watched "All the Way" with Brian Cranston as LBJ. It was pretty good, which is good enough. I say that as someone who has read and forgotten 50 books about LBJ, and thinks that Breaking Bad is the best TV show ever. I watched an online bootleg I won't link to. It's on HBO.
It was a little heavy handed in showing race as the only issue in the LJB administration, but I suppose that's to be expected from Hollywood. I don't think Bobby Baker was in it at all, and Bobby Kennedy was mentioned but offscreen.
The best of those books was Robert Caro's, the Path to Power, Master of the Senate, etc. Still waiting on volume 5.

Monday, May 30, 2016

illinois considers automatic voter registration. http://www.theeagle.com/news/nation/the-latest-automatic-voter-registration-endorsed-by-panel/article_75b527bc-3b12-5d08-a063-e070c0f6541a.html. I drove through illinois this morning.

Memorial day post featuring Tiffany Trump. 

barron von trump, 9.

Gary Johnson, William Weld, each nominated on second ballot.
I was at work in Nebraska yesterday so I didn't get to the convention. The Nebraska gig paid well,
and I got to work on a potential disclaimer lawsuit while there, but yesterday's meeting could have been handled with a phone call, so I'm annoyed about missing the convention - it was a good one.


Photo voter ID Jim Crow

Friday, May 27, 2016

senator travels to future to meet garland.

Thursday, May 26, 2016


Wednesday, May 25, 2016

updating this post, http://ballots.blogspot.com/2016/04/counsel-matthewmonfortonyahoo.html
plaintiffs won at least part of their lawsuit, but i don't find the ruling online free so i haven't read it.
HELENA — A federal judge has once again struck down a law that requires candidates who criticize the voting records of another candidate to offer details on the vote.


the 5th circuit en banc oral argument in the texas voter ID case.

The state was asked if there's a case that gave injunctiuve relief in an as-applied challenge.
not sure if that's how it was worded. state says no. but later one of the judges mentions citizens united, which is a such a case. this post needs work, but i wanted to jot it down before i forgot.

Third, the distinction between facial and as-applied challenges is not so well defined that it has some automatic effect or that it must always control the pleadings and disposition in every case involving a constitutional challenge. - CU.

Tuesday, May 24, 2016


Meet the expert witnesses testifying in Wisconsin's federal voter ID trial

this entry was picked up by electionlawblog, http://electionlawblog.org/?p=83096

Monday, May 23, 2016

Obama, Bourdain, in Vietnam.

“Will Democrats Try To Beat Trump By Discouraging Conservative Voters?”


   Democrats, i.e. Hillary, can increase their chances in the general election by helping to make sure that third parties are fully included, both on the ballot and in the campaigns.
Hillary no doubt remembers 1992, when Ross Perot split off enough votes from Bush to put Hillary in the White House with 38% of the vote, and 2000, when Ralph Nader split off enough votes from Gore to put a Bush back in the White House, with was it 48%, with a little help from the court.

  Her main tool in that process is the debates. Hillary should approach the LWV to sponsor debates, and decline to participate in the HighlyPartisan Debate Commission events. 
Debates that include Libertarian Gary Johnson, and his running mate Bill Weld - assuming as I do that they will be the nominees at the convention in Orlando this month, which work keeps me from attending this year, will lift Johnson out of the 1% range into maybe 3-8%, which could be the boost Hillary needs, if any. 

   In order to make this strategy seem less like the ploy that it is, Jill Stein of the Greens should also be included. That would give an option for those who want to vote for a woman who isn't Hillary, and be an outlet for disaffected Berniephiles. I don't think Stein's numbers would offset Johnson's by enough to matter. Johnson and Weld have both served as GOP governors, making them credible alternatives to the anti-Trump faction. Both are known as moderates, while the Libertarian platform appeals to some farther-right Republicans. Johnson also has an edge with the pro-pot vote, which is non-trivial as we've seen in places like Colorado and the West Coast states,
although this makes it easier to treat him as a fringe candidate.  

 I do not see Johnson getting Perot-like numbers, but getting into Nader territory is doable.
Although Johnson would siphon off some Hillary votes, he mainly represents an alternative to Trump. Not a strong alternative, since I don't think anyone thinks he can win, but is a "send a message" type candidate, as Nader was.

   Another thing Hillary could do would be to include Johnson (and Stein or at least "other") in her polling. This will make her numbers and his look better, and more accurately reflect the real race.
Polls which list only Hillary and Trump introduce a margin of error that can be avoided, because they do not reflect the actual choices voters have.

  I would be likely to vote for Johnson over Trump if they let me vote, but they generally don't. Absentee voting might be an option this year depending on my work schedule. Anyway, if the Hillary campaign treats Johnson as a serious candidate, so will enough of the media, and then so will enough of the people. Hillary is not known for taking my campaign advice, but I won't be the only one saying these things. The debates are key, and polling is a way to justify debate inclusion.

update: this story says many of the same things i said here, and says that fox has Johnson at 10%, which seems high. Ok, the cite it gives is rewritten LP press release.
This article http://www.vox.com/2016/5/24/11740210/libertarian-party-2016 has a lot of insider baseball on the Johnson-Weld race. I didn't know, for example, that Weld had the LP nomination for governor of New York in 2006, but then dropped out, costing the LP ballot status in that important fusion state.


Austria elects a Green as president, a largely ceremonial office, in a squeaker against the nationalist Freedom Party. Sometimes a handful of votes matter, which the poll taxers behind voter ID are counting on.

Friday, May 20, 2016


85% of those denied ID in WISC are black or hispanic, according to testimorny in this week's trial.
The Wisc plaintiffs are doing a great job of presenting evidence at trial.
I wonder if anyone nationally is collecting all this evidence, so it could be shown voter ID is a national conspiracy to harm the integrity of the election process.
It had to be fought state by state, but not in a vacuum.
Voter ID just lost a round in VA, which will now get appealed.
Next week Texas voter ID get reheard en banc.

Tuesday, May 17, 2016

A court has preliminarily enjoined Kansas from its voter disenfranchisement program, as it should have. This isn't the same as voter ID, but it's related.

There's a moderately big controversy right now over disclaimers, involving some of the usual suspects, the FEC, CREW, Vice Chair Ann Ravel, de facto leader of the pro-censorship wing of the evenly split FEC.


Instead, in a sign of how toxic American politics have become, it spawned unbridled ugliness, including death threats that have drawn the attention of law enforcement.

"“Die, fascist, die!” one anonymous person wrote to Ravel in an email reviewed by the Center for Public Integrity.“Hope you have a heart attack,” read another email.
“Go fall down about ten flights of stairs,” yet another person wrote.
Other threats, while less overt, are equally disquieting."

But these are not threats. True threats are not protected by the constitution. Public criticism of corrupt public officials is. If the cops are involved, I want to know who called them, and exactly what the text in question was. OK, partial answer, in 2014 Edward Holder (that's not Eric Holder) contacted the feds, and now she has access to security goons as needed. They won't say if there's a renewed investigation about more recent comments. 

"I'm going to push you down the stairs" is a threat. "I hope you fall down the stairs" is not.
I'll need to look into this a bit further. Maybe true threats were made, but not quoted.
It is reasonable of the internet tell Ravel to keep her hands off. I've testified to the effect three times, first in the 1998 Leo Smith AO,and then in two subsequent requests for comment on internet policy.
What sparked this particular round involves yet another false complaint by CREW, alleging express advocacy where the wasn't any.
Ravel's statement of reasons.
I'm somewhat confused about what the facts are; is it about some broadcast commericals, or is it about the internet? Apparently both. She's also separately written about wanting to convene another study of the internet. http://eqs.fec.gov/eqsdocsMUR/14044363872.pdf
Lee Goodman responds http://eqs.fec.gov/eqsdocsMUR/14044363864.pdf (to the 2014 case.)

The express advocacy "loophole" was created by Buckley v Valeo. Valeo recognizes that regulation of political speech is problematic for First Amendment reasons. In an attempt to save the statute, the court construed the regulations narrowly, to reach only express advocacy. In later cases, such as McConnell and WRTL II, the Court has redefined express advocacy so it no longer need be express, or advocacy. Whereever the court, or the Commission, draws the line, groups like CREW stand on the other side of the line, making accusations that are false but have some plausible truthiness. They do that in order to chill the speech of their enemies. Generally, CREW considers anyone with enough money to speak effectively as an enemy. So the Valeo experiment was a good attempt at a saving construction, but it hasn't worked. The Court should go back and find that such regulations of political speech are unconstitutional, whether express or implied, whether about issues or candidates,
whether advocacy or neutral newsreporting, all of it is and should be protected by the First Amendment and perhaps substantive due process, equal protection, and the P+I clause.

Ravel is wrong, again. She's like a 1950s school librarian wanting to tell everyone to shush, of fill out more forms and permits in order to be allowed to speak, but that's not what democracy looks like.

Ravel is not the only person facing death threats these days. Bernie Sanders supporters are upset that the Nevada state caucus to select delegates was apparently rigged by a pro-Clinton faction. The chair is some kind of kinfolk of Clinton, I forget the exact connection but there is one.
I'm not advocating death threats or thrown chairs but it seems the Sanders people have a real beef.
I am not a fan of abolishing the caususes. I think they are as close as we get to a national town meeting. It is in the interest of the parties to conduct their caucuses and conventions fairly.
Ron Paul's supporters I think at times felt they were not treated properly at caucuses, and the enthusiasm of the Paul supporters did not carry over to the general election, and the GOP lost.
There were concerns about how the GOP convention would treat Trump and Cruz this year, but Trunp has solidified his victory, at least to the point where he'll get the nomination.
The Clinton faction needs to avoid alienating the Sanders supporters, so stunts like rigged caucuses don't help. I wasn't there, haven't studied the videos, and my sources are mostly reddit scuttlebut. But I suspect there is something to the anger.

Monday, May 16, 2016


This article points out real problems with Maryland's voter intergrity. Voter ID is the wrong solution, but the problems are real.


Roll Call should know better than this. There is no residency requirement for congress, other than living in the state.

A newspaper article from South Bend Indiana cites one of my cases, the 7th circuit part of Stewart v. Taylor, where the court said only one of my nominations counted.
In Taylor, I was trying to get the court to issue an injunction based on the idea that Timmons v New Party was currently before the Supreme Court. I didn't succeed in getting my lawyer to understand and argue that point. Even today I don't know if my legal theory was good or not.
The 7th circuit treated the case as a ruling on the merits rather than just a request for preliminary injunction, and ruled against me, and then the Supreme Court squashed New Party like a bug in a really hostile opinion. Stewart v Taylor did end up winning on a separate issue about political signs.
The plaintiff here is pro se and I have little hope of him prevailing. His best argument is the state constitution's free and equal elections clause, but he probably won't even cite to it.

Sunday, May 15, 2016


Saturday, May 14, 2016


witches for bernie

cal secretary of state opposes voter ID. my guess is he's a democrat.


The facts that aren’t being talked about are the ones that matter most. 1) Voter ID’s are usually processed through the Department of Motor Vehicles, making the voter’s current address public information; available to law enforcement and creditors.
This is an argument we haven't heard much in the voter ID discussion. I had a friend who went from running for statewide office, to not being registered to vote, because he felt, correctly, that there were people looking for him, and he didn't want to be easily found.

Thursday, May 12, 2016

voter ID's trend is to go digital.

I think I recognize two of these 4 horsemen, Pence and McConnell. Not sure about the other two.

Bernie wants to make college free.
Hillary merely wants to make community college free.
But you can join the electoral college alumni association free today.
Mo Rocca models the tshirt.

Tuesday, May 10, 2016

Some see the contest at this point as a choice between the lesser of two evils.

On one side, there's a new york billionaire friend of wall street who has served on the boards of major corporations, and gotten famous in the tabloids and "reality" television for shady real estate deals,
risque publicity stunts and hairstyle.

On the other, there's Donald Trump.

Monday, May 09, 2016


"You have to be a citizen to vote," but with same-day voter registration, "you have places where people just walk in and vote."

Donald Trump on Sunday, May 8th, 2016 in an interview on 'Meet the Press'
Donald Trump wrongly says noncitizens can vote when there is same-day voter registration.

Trump is right and Politifact is wrong.
Trump is known for being a blowhard and a liar, but he's not wrong here.
His claim is that 1) there are places 2) where non citizens walk in and 3) vote.
So for this to be verified there would need to be at least two places and least two non-citizens who vote. That's a verifiable claim.
Politifact tries to change his claim around to add a bunch of terms and conditions, but that's not what he said. My guess is that he has in mind Wisconsin, where "vouching" was used to let people vote without ID. I think, but I'm not sure, that Wisconsin got rid of vouching because it enables fraud.
It is not impossible for noncitizens to get ID, either legally or otherwise. There are factors that discourage them from doing so, and a rational non-citizen would be deterred, but not everybody is rational.  In a county of some 330 million citizens, and maybe 15-30 million non-citizens, it would shock me if at least two of them didn't vote. There are safeguards that make this rare, but not impossible. Allowing election day registration removes some of those safeguards, while promoting
wider participation. Tomorrow is election day here in Nebraska. There's no election-day registration, the cut off was last month. I'm not a citizen of Nebraska, I'm just passing through, but if there were same day registration I would have been able to vote here.
Many of us have seen the videos of how same day registration in New Hampshire enabled carpetbaggers to vote in the important New Hampshire primary. Generally that was Americans from out of state rather than non-citizens, but I'm not sure how they check.

Politifact is owned by a newspaper, the Tampa Something or Other, Tampa Bay Times, which in turn is owned by a school. It is not unusual for newspapers and colleges to skew strongly Democrat,and have few or no Republicans. My guess is there is no partisan parity at Politifact, that it is staffed disproportionally by liberals and Democrats,and that had harmed their ability to objectively check facts.

I have not specifically checked the partisan affiliation of the staff there; this is a hypothesis on my part. But I'd bet even money it checks out.

Trump seems to think so too.
"And PolitiFact which is by the way is a totally left-wing group. They are bad news as far as checking. You can tell something 100 percent and they can make it out to a lie if you're a certain person. So PolitiFact didn't like the idea that I said dancing on rooftops, dancing in the streets." I'm not citing him to try to prove my point, only saying that my insights are not original; I assume it's obvious to many people that they are biased and not reporting facts.

Friday, May 06, 2016

In the usa, there are limits on contributions to candidates.
In the UK, you can give all you want, but the candidate doesn't get to spend it.

note to self, read amicus briefs in frank v walker

Thursday, May 05, 2016

Justice Brennan's papers become public next year. I'm not sure when next year.
We don't know yet what will happen with Justice Scalia's papers.

Hava grievance form. So i'll need to download that and get it notarized.

Tuesday, May 03, 2016

live from union station ballroom indianapolis, Ted Cruz just told me he's dropping out of the race for president. i'll put up the audio tomorrow.

the audio isn't very good, so i'm not going to post this after all. but i was there.

Practical advice from Josh Douglas about using checklists to reduce poll worker error.
I'll need to find that TED talk on using checklists to reduce deaths in hospitals.

Videos showing how voter ID doesn't work in Indiana.
update: ok here are the 6 videos as one playlist. i think this should work.
there's some dead air in a few of them, maybe i'll get a tighter edit later.

Today I went to vote at the firehouse down the street. As I have been doing since 2006, I declined to show ID.
I was not offered a provisional ballot, just told I couldn't vote. This is how it usually goes, although results vary.
I went to the voting warehouse office and discussed things with Jenny at the front desk.
She told me that I should go back and try again, and give them a call so they could explain things.
So I go back and call, but the precinct boss refused to talk to the election board lawyer who was on my phone, and instead ordered me to leave the building, so I left.  I did get a call about 4:45 that they had got it straightened out and I should go back a third time, but by then I was miles away and it was not practical to get there by 6 pm.

I would be interested in people's opinions. Do I have standing? Do I have a case on the merits?
It may be complicated by some preclusion issues, because this is not my first time at the rodeo, but the facts seem like they may be different enough. This is the first time I got it all on video.
In a previous case, the election official gave perjured testimony that I had stopped in but left so quickly she couldn't offer me a provisional ballot, which is not at all what happened.

I am very self-conscious about my appearance, but I am willing to put up these videos because they tell a story that I think is important, how voter ID actually works, which is different from how it is supposed to work.
It might, or might not, provide the kind of as-applied challenge I've been looking for.

update: linked at hasen. http://electionlawblog.org/?p=82566

Monday, May 02, 2016

legislative history of voter ID:
Discrimination! Why that is exactly what we propose. To remove every negro voter who can be gotten rid of, legally, without materially impairing the numerical strength of the white electorate.”

Friday, April 29, 2016

I actually liked Obama's rant today.
http://www.solitudelakemanagement.com/blog/stocking-minnows-a-natural-method-for-mosquito-control. Oops wrong link. http://electionlawblog.org/?p=82427

If I'd gotten up earlier Bernie Sanders was in town giving a talk at the statehouse.
The primary is Tuesday and I don't know whether they will let me vote. Last time they did, usually they don't.


Thursday, April 28, 2016

william barber in nyt
he's a guy i know who is at the center of the struggle against n carolina's voter discouragement practices.

Wednesday, April 27, 2016

"Today the Court will hear oral arguments in the challenge by former Virginia governor Bob McDonnell to his fraud convictions." It already happened, but oral argument audio or transcripts aren't up yet. I've been reading some of the briefs. It looks good for McDonald. I don't know if it will be any help to Blagovitch or Charlie White or other politicians who have been convicted of being politicians. McDonnell is guilty, but not for what he was convicted of.

Tuesday, April 26, 2016

"We believe the judge's decision is wrong," said the Rev. William Barber, state NAACP president. He called the ruling "almost 500 pages of rationalization for the intentional race-based voter suppression law that everybody knows was written to suppress African American votes."

A possible path for the North Carolina case:

It goes next to a panel of the 4th circuit, probably the same panel as before. While stuck with the trial court's findings of fact, they are likely to see the law differently. Wild-ass guess rather than close study suggests they may reverse part of the this case. My focus is mostly on the voter ID issues, but there are a bunch of live issues in the case. If it ends up being Hillary v. Trump, North Carolina shouldn't matter much, but that's too soon to say.
 Then, it goes either en banc (in which case who knows) or to the Supreme Court,
where I would count Breyer Ginsberg Kagan Sotomayer as 4 likely votes to uphold,
with the Chief and Kennedy being flexible, perhaps seeking a narrow ruling, and Thomas and Alito opposed. Of course if President Trump appoints Cruz, that could be a different ball game.

"[A] lawyer who represents himself has a fool for a client." Marion County Election Board and Marion County Board of Voter Registration, Appellants-Defendants, v. Gregory Bowes, Mark King, Paul Ogden, Zach Mullholland, and Brian Cooper, Appellees-Plaintiffs.(In.Ct. App. 5/26/2016)

This was a public records act case to get the voter lists for Marion County/Indianapolis.
Pro se lawyer denied legal fees. It looks wrong to me if he represented not only himself,
but Ogden and Mullholland, which seems to be the facts. Those are familiar names; they have both won against the board before. So Bowes is out about $40K because he didnt leave his own name off the filing.

Sunday, April 24, 2016


The latest data breach involves the voting records of 93.4 million Mexican citizens

Dances-with-Obama department.


Saturday, April 23, 2016

Hall noted that the preliminary data that show 29,000 voters used the two provisions also reveal that 1,320 ballots were rejected because voters did not provide proper ID to poll officials.

Finally some North Carolina data. Is there any way to know how many of each party?

update: the decision in the N Carolina voting rights case is for the state, as expected. less expected, it's over 400 pages. 
It's not that 29,000 people will be disenfranchised; the state will argue they can just adjust to the new methods, that inconvenience is not severe burden. But actual numbers help plaintiff make their case.
1320 is non-trivial.

Duran Duran department:


Friday, April 22, 2016

At Volokh, Brian Kalt is/will be guestblogging about the 20th Amendment.
That's the one about if the electoral college deadlocks and it goes to the house.
Pretty obscure stuff.
Yesterday I ran into another bit of obscure election trivia. Nebraska has a nonpartisan unicameral legislature. So how do its primaries work? Seems to be a top-two situation similar to California and I think Washington State. I'm not sure how Richard Winger feels about it.
The primary is May 10th and I'm not sure I'll get this lawsuit filed by then, but that's the goal.

http://nereform.org/voting-rights-litigation/  NEBRASKANS FOR CIVIC REFORM

I happened to sit next to a guy at the coffee shop this morning who founded and runs a voting rights shop. In his spare time he's a state senator. We said hi and will touch base more later. I don't see yet where they've actually done cases, maybe they just are being modest about it, but they have offices, staff, and train a hundred election observers. That's really valuable in-the-trenches work that a lot of organizations skip.

Thursday, April 21, 2016




Ther contend that they are allowed to openly coordinate with the Clinton campaign. I'm not sure.
is this an impeachable offense? does Hillary have any personal involvement? is jail an option?
has/will the fec split 3-3 on this?

I saw this on reddit and sent it to Hasen who posted it.

I understand nothing about Brexxit. http://www.antipope.org/charlie/blog-static/2016/04/the-unavoidable-discussion.html#more I've known Charlie Stross as a writer for years so I link to his blog even if I don't share his politics. Found out recently my brother Bill knows him in person, from years of going to world science fiction conventions. I have neither the time or money to travel in those circles. Brexxit sounds to me like a breakfast cereal.

Wednesday, April 20, 2016

Can Trump win on the first ballot?

He needs 1237 votes.
He was 840.
735 are left to go.
Let's say he gets half of those. 367.
I haven't looked at which states are still out.
Generally Cruz leads the West and South,
Trump has the East and North
840+367 = 1207.
Then he only needs to pick up 30 of the 200 unpledged.
He can buy the last ten if he needs to;
Ambassador to Iceland anybody?
So I'm thinking Trump wins first ballot, unless Cruz just kills from here on.
I'm not sure if Kasich hurts or helps either side.



Tuesday, April 19, 2016

levy watch department. in this case paul alan levy.


update: got this posted to electionlawblog.com.

Monday, April 18, 2016

also got this posted to electionlawblog.com.



Trump: Nice convention you've got there. Be a shame if something were to happen to it.

Friday, April 15, 2016

book chapter about doug guetzloe, a friend of mine who served 42 days for a disclaimer violation.
later he served about a year and  half for tax avoidance.

update: Monfortton promptly sent me the complaint. Expect to see it electionlawblog.com tomorrowish.
matthewmonforton at yahoo.com
Defendant: Jonathan MotlDefendant: Timothy Fox
6:16-cv-00033-DLC-JTJ Kantorowicz v. Motl et al
Dana L. Christensen, presiding
John Johnston, referral
Date filed: 04/14/2016
Date of last filing: 04/15/201
Office: Helena     Filed: 04/14/2016
Jury Demand: None     Demand:
Nature of Suit: 950     Cause: 42:1983 Civil Rights Act
Jurisdiction: Federal Question     Disposition:
County: LEWIS & CLARKTerminated:
Origin: 1    Reopened:
Lead Case:None
Related Case:NoneOther Court Case: None
Defendant Custody Status:

Plaintiff: J.C. Kantorowicz represented by Matthew G. Monforton(
related case:

The entry below was getting complicated so i'll keep this one simpler.
In 2012 I wrote to Montana telling it to stop enforcing its disclaimer provisions.
I have misplaced that letter, it might have been sent via one of those online form things.
I got a handwaving reply,and only just now replied to that, so here are those two letters.

Robbin Stewart gtbear@gmail.com

6:45 PM (0 minutes ago)
to Julie
Hi Julie. I realize 4 years have gone by. I don't know if this is still a working address. I am checking in to see if there were changes made in reaction to the Lair decision Commission Murry's email references.

Also, I seem to have misplaced my own letter that you were responding to.
I don't suppose you kept a copy?

I have read with interest the Campbell decision. 
http://politicalpractices.mt.gov/content/2recentdecisions/WittichvCampbellDecision, which gets the law wrong about McConnell and Majors v Abell. I was counsel in Majors.

Anyway, I would like to find out if the commission has a more current policy about how it handles disclaimer complaints. I am likely to follow up with a demand that you stop all enforcement of disclaimer requirements, as they are unconstitutional per McIntyre, Talley v California, Buckley ACLF, etc.,
but first I try to find out how things are currently handled.

I have seen some of the decisions that apply a de minimus standard,and the Landgaard frivolous complaint policy, and those are improvements, but do not go far enough. 

I will try to reply more promptly next time.

On Mon, Mar 26, 2012 at 4:04 PM, Steab, Julie <jsteab@mt.gov> wrote:
Mr. Stewart –

Commissioner Murry sent you a response on March 12th but it appears you did not receive his response.  Commissioner Murry has already deleted his sent messages from the 12th – please accept our apologies for the error in transmission.  Below is the information Commissioner Murry sent -

Thank you for your email inquiring about the summary of facts and statement of findings in the Matter of the Complaint Against Barbara Campbell, Utility Solutions, LLC, and Double-Tree, Inc. (Nov. 17, 2009).  The case was subsequently settled without litigation for $160.  The summary of facts and statement of findings in that case cited and analyzed the Supreme Court’s decision in McIntyre v. Ohio Elections Commission, which you mention in your email.  The disclaimer notice posted on my office’s website provides basic information regarding Montana’s statutory requirements for attribution language on campaign materials.  The notice will likely be revised based on a recent ruling by U.S. District Judge Charles C. Lovell, available at this link: 

Please let me know if you have additional questions. 

Julie Steab, Investigator
Montana Commissioner of Political Practices

The thing that had me checking on this stuff again was the filing of:

Kantorowicz v. Motl et al 6:2016cv00033

Filed:April 14, 2016

in progress, i may delete this or revise it substantially.

montana is home to some of the most speech-hostile campaign regulations in the country.
a new lawsuit has been filed very recently, reports hasen. i'm having trouble finding that lawsuit,
but turning up interesting things, so collecting them in this post.
this pdf file isn't letting me cut and paste the relevant sections, but finding of fact  7 involves "attribution" which is what montana calls disclaimers. they are complaining that the disclaimer on a website wasn't adequate. so montana is attempting to regulate the internet, a worldwide communcations medium that cannot be subjected to local ordinances.
my guess is if i look at the montana constitution it will say something about free speech.
 Section 6. Freedom of assembly. The people shall have the right peaceably to assemble, petition for redress or peaceably protest governmental action.
Section 7. Freedom of speech, expression, and press. No law shall be passed impairing the freedom of speech or expression. Every person shall be free to speak or publish whatever he will on any subject, being responsible for all abuse of that liberty. 
   Section 10. Right of privacy. The right of individual privacy is essential to the well-being of a free society and shall not be infringed without the showing of a compelling state interest.
Section 13. Right of suffrage. All elections shall be free and open, and no power, civil or military, shall at any time interfere to prevent the free exercise of the right of suffrage.
Section 18. State subject to suit. The state, counties, cities, towns, and all other local governmental entities shall have no immunity from suit for injury to a person or property, except as may be specifically provided by law by a 2/3 vote of each house of the legislature. all adopted 1972.

"It's not a good day for Montanans when somebody challenges reporting and disclosure," Motl said. "It's the foundation of democratic involvement in the electoral process."
Wittich hunt:

typical disclaimer harrassment.
Jonathan Motl was the author of two initiatives proposed for the November 2008 ballot in Montana, the Montana Home and Community Care Act (2008) and Montana Healthy Kids Plan Act, I-155 (2008).
Motl was partner in the law firm of Reynolds, Motl & Sherwood in Helena, Montana from 1982 through 2013. In 2013, he was appointed to the role of Montana Commissioner of Political Practices. He is a member of the State Bar of Montana, Montana Trial Lawyers Association, and the Association of Trial Lawyers of America. He serves on the boards of the Montana Justice Foundation and the Montana Public Interest Research Foundation. In 1979-1981, he was a staff aide to Ralph Nader.

t. ADVOCATE (a) A lawyer shall not bring or defend a proceeding, or assert or controvert an issue therein: (1) without having fi rst determined through diligent investigation that there is a bona fi de basis in law and fact for the position to be advocated; (2) for the purpose of harassment, delay, advancement of a nonmeritorious claim or solely to gain leverage; or (3) to extend, modify or reverse existing law unless a bona fi de basis in law and fact exists for advocating doing so. (b) A lawyer for the defendant in a criminal proceeding, or the
 (a) A lawyer shall not make a statement that the lawyer knows to be false or with reckless disregard as to its truth or falsity concerning the qualifi cations or integrity of a judge, adjudicatory offi cer or public legal offi cer, or of a candidate for election or appointment to judicial or legal offi ce. (b) A lawyer who is a candidate for jud
(b) commit a criminal act that refl ects adversely on the lawyer’s honesty, trustworthiness or fi tness as a lawyer in other respects; (c) engage in conduct involving dishonesty, fraud, deceit or misrepresentation; (d) engage in conduct that is prejudicial to the administration of justice; (e) state or imply an


The determination of attribution as to these particular Posters is nuanced. The Posters are anonymous and, under some circumstances, 1"t amendment principles limit enforcement of the attribution requirement of S 13- 35-225 MCA in regard to ErnonJ[nous campaign documents. This measure is best defined in the case of Mclntgre u. Ohio Elections Commission,514 U.S. 334, 347 (19951:'[u]nder our Constitution, anonyrnous pamphleteering is not a pernicious fraudulent practice, but an honorable tradition of advocacy and dissent."

Past Montana Commissioners, citing Mclntgre, have determined that the lst Amendment protects written displays (leaflets, pamphlets, signs, posters) of unattributed (anonymous) speech from application of parts of Montana's Campaign Practice Acti Vanmeter u. asksheriffluckglarson, November 10, 2011 (Commissioner Gallik), Wittich u. Campbell, November 17 , 2OO9 (Commissioner Unsworth), McAllister v Gardiner School District, April 2003 (Commissioner Vaughey) and Harmon u. Sweet, December 31, 1997 (Commissioner Argenbright). In this particular matter, however, the Commissioner determines that anonymity was waived

 First, Candidate Neil paid for the Posters and placed her name in the Posters.a Second, Candidate Neil informs that she hung the a This use ofher name in the document alone argues against an intention of anonymity. See Bixler u. Suprock, COPP-2O13-CFP-013 (Commissioner Motl) and Olsen u. Valance, November 17 , 2OO9 (Commissioner Unsworth). Decision re: Duffu u. NeiI Page 4 Poster in her own place of business and posted it herself in 4 other public places around town. (FOF No. 7). Both of these actions demonstrate that Candidate Neil did not intend anonymity as to her actions in paying for the

 Cangon Ferry Rd. Baptist Church of E. Helena, Inc. u. Unsworth" 556 F. 3d IO2L, LO2a-29 (9th Cir. 2O09) - de minimum requirement

complainmt dismissed as de minimus, but for the wrong reasons. that is, mcintyre bars montana's attribution requirement.
no enforcement, but threat of enforcement. 2008.

http://politicalpractices.mt.gov/content/5campaignfinance/AugieAgaWebsiteBannerAdAttributionOpinion 2014 advisory opinion about web page disclaimers - required but waived in this because too small.

zero dollar disclosure upheld

landsgaard opinion - adopts policy against frivolous complaints. shows complaints went from 1 every ten years to 30 a year.

strizich decision
requires elephant on gop literature. more unconstitutional compelled speech.


Wednesday, April 13, 2016

Junior and the gastonette:


Gastonette is a word so obscure I had to look it up from Judge Easterbrook's recent opinion in Frank v Walker, the ongoing Wisconsin voter ID lawsuit.
It was coined by another federal judge, to describe the old vaudeville bit, "after you my dear Alphonse",  "no, after you, Gaston" of two men so polite they can't get through a doorway, and the not-that-uncommon situation where two legal requirements get in the way of each other.
 “Birth of a Word,” 13 Green Bag 2d 169 (Winter 2010).

It describes the situation where you can't get an ID without a birth certificate, and you can't get a birth certificate without an ID. Catch-22. Catch-22, noun,a dilemma or difficult circumstance from which there is no escape because of mutually conflicting or dependent conditions. See vicious cycle.

Eddie Lee Holloway has been through it.
Sometimes finding the right plaintiff is the key to making your case.
His story is extreme. However, you could sit around the BMV in my town and find dozens of people with similar stories. It recently took me 4 trips to the Indiana BMV to try to get plates for my current car. What I got after 4 trips is a temporary tag that will be expired before I get home,
but I've been through worse there before.

I'm not sure if it was stupidity or genius that led the GOP put the BMV in charge of who gets to vote. I played chess with a guy in jail who had a story about how his dealing with the BMV eventually resulted in jail time. He was black; they usually are. When you are too poor, or out of the loop, to know which lawyer to hire to fix your BMV problem, you often end up driving with no license or on a suspended license, and get a ticket you can't pay, and then a warrant goes out, and you are hunted.

The name on my birth certificate is not my current name, and occasionally this makes the BMV freak out and not want to let me renew my license. I spent 2003 in that situation, which was one of the factors that led me to get involved in trying to litigate voter ID. 

So far each of my three lawsuits has failed, but Eddy Lee Holloway Junior's second trip to the Seventh Circuit is paving the way for a new round of as applied challenges to unworkable voter ID situations that are common to Wisconsin and Indiana. I have potential plaintiffs in Indiana who were denied the vote over ID disputes, but so far I can't find them a lawyer. Their stories are not as dramatic as Eddie's, but I remain convinced that they have standing and injury. 

It takes a combination of a good legal team and the right plaintiffs to take on these kind of cases.
It's hard to say where our society would be without the ACLU and the important work it does.

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